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Thursday, September 11th, 2008
Both Sides Will Like This
NPR has an interactive political map where you can predict the winner of the 2008 Presidential Election yourself. My totally unscientific map which was derived from very little thought turned out McCain - 254 and Obama - 284. 270 is the number of electoral votes to win it. Thought this might be a fun discussion topic. Of the swing states, I gave Obama Ohio, New Mexico, Iowa, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. How does your map look and what, if any thought was behind it? For example, I gave Obama Michigan because Mitt Romney wasn't picked as a running mate for McCain. Again, no real fact behind my reasoning, but who knows, it may be valid in the end. I especially want to hear from Brian and Rick on this one. They've probably read a little more than I have on this subject!
http://www.npr.org/news/specials/election2008/2008-elec...
Both Sides Will Like This
NPR has an interactive political map where you can predict the winner of the 2008 Presidential Election yourself. My totally unscientific map which was derived from very little thought turned out McCain - 254 and Obama - 284. 270 is the number of electoral votes to win it. Thought this might be a fun discussion topic. Of the swing states, I gave Obama Ohio, New Mexico, Iowa, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. How does your map look and what, if any thought was behind it? For example, I gave Obama Michigan because Mitt Romney wasn't picked as a running mate for McCain. Again, no real fact behind my reasoning, but who knows, it may be valid in the end. I especially want to hear from Brian and Rick on this one. They've probably read a little more than I have on this subject!
http://www.npr.org/news/specials/election2008/2008-elec...
I am playing with it right now.
I gave MCain:
PA
FL
NM
VA
I gave Obama
Ohio
Michigan (for the same reason you did)
CO
NH
IA
And I have a total of 271 to 267 in favor of McCain.
I think the lesson to be taken here is that it really isnt the National Polls that count but the State polls.
I think McCain has an outside shot at NH, and has Florida wrapped up.
I gave McCain PA, but he might have a better shot in Ohio right now. I think though that Obama will play the lost jobs card more as the election draws near and both Ohio and Michigan will end up with Obama.
One thing that scares me is Indiana. Right now it is in McCain's column but I think Obama might have a shot there.
;-)